The superyacht known as the Bayesian had a crew of 10 people and 12 passengers.

这艘名为超级游艇上有 10 名船员和 12 名乘客。

It'll take you from knowing nothing to being able to fully apply Bayes' theorem or multiple linear regression.

它将带你从一无所知到能够完全应用定理或多元线性回归。

You'll learn cutting edge mathematics like information theory, Bayesian networks, and causal inference without calculations getting in the way.

你将学习前沿数学，如信息论、网络和因果推理，而无需计算。

You understand the heart of Bayes' theorem.

您解定理核心。

The Bayesian Award goes to... Wait, wait, wait.

奖颁给......等等，等等，等等。

And that requires us to talk about Bayes rule and also probability density functions.

这需要我们讨论规则和概率密度函数。

A common technique for figuring this out is Bayesian knowledge tracing.

知识追踪常用来解决这个问题。

For this case, we do have a Bayes rule, once more.

对于这种情况，我们再次有规则。

Which takes us to the other forgotten terms in Bayesian inference.

这就把我们带到推理中其他被遗忘术语。

One of whom basic inference takes its name from, that's Thomas Bayes.

基本推理名字就来源于其中一位 托马·。

So this plot is meant to show usage of Bayes.

所以这个图是为展示用法。

This, my friends, is Bayes' theorem.

我朋友们，这就是定理。

So not quite yet, but that computation explains this explosion in the usage of Bayesian statistics.

所以现在还不完全是，但这种计算解释统计使用爆炸式增长。

It's very commonly used to introduce the topic of bayes rule in  probability.

它非常常用于介绍概率中规则主题。

And this is a major point of confusion for most students that first take a Bayesian class.

对于大多数第一次参加课程学生来说，这是一个主要困惑点。

Our goal is to estimate P in a Bayesian fashion.

我们目标是以方式估计 P。

In the context of Bayes' theorem, this value also has a special name, it's the " likelihood" .

在定理背景下，这个值还有一个特殊名字，那就是“可能性”。

So the Bayesian says don't even add a full sample to each side.

因此, 模型说, 甚至不要在每边都添加一个完整样本。

I like to think about it as a Bayesian thing.

我喜欢把它想象成东西。

So there's been a lot of fights over is this thing Bayesian right here or is it not?

所以有很多争论, 到底是理论还是不是?